Primary Election Predictions

These are just predictions and not endorsements… and reading tea leaves in this political environment is challenging at best. These are not a complete list of predictions across the state, just key races where we have some ability to speak intelligenetly.

Here goes:

U.S. Senate, Republicans
♦ Katherine Harris

U.S. Congress, Republicans
♦ District 8: Ric Keller
♦ District 9: Gus Bilirakis
♦ District 13: Vern Buchanan

U.S. Congress, Democrats:
District 5: Rick Penberthy
♦ District 8: Charlie Stuart
♦ District 11: Kathy Castor
District 13: Jan Schneider

Governor & Cabinet, Republican:
♦ Governor: Charlie Crist
♦ CFO: Tom Lee

Governor & Cabinet, Democrat:
Governor: Rod Smith
♦ Attorney General: Skip Campbell

State Senate, Republican:
♦ District 8: Jim King
District 10: Sandy Murman
♦ District 14: Steve Oelrich
♦ District 16: Kim Berfield
♦ District 38: Alex Villalobos

State Senate, Democrats:
♦ District 14: Ed Jennings
♦ District 30: Ted Deutch
District 32: Ben Graber

State House, Republicans:
District 6: Cameron Skinner
♦ District 11: David Pope
♦ District 34: David Mealor
♦ District 41: Stephen Precourt
♦ District 44: Robert Schenck
♦ District 48: Peter Nehr
♦ District 49: John Quinones
District 50: Nancy Riley
District 51: Bruce Cotton
♦ District 52: Angelo Capelli
District 54: Rod Jones
♦ Distict 69: Laura Benson
♦ District 70: Doug Holder
♦ District 71: Michael Grant
District 73: John Albion
District 107: Robert Fernandez
♦ District 115: J.C. Planas
♦ District 116: Marcelo Llorente
♦ District 120: David Rice

State House, Democrats:
♦ District 14: Terry Fields
♦ District 15: Audrey Gibson
♦ District 23: Chuck Chestnut
♦ District 36: Scott Randolph
♦ District 39: Geraldine Thompson
♦ District 52: Bill Heller
♦ District 53: Rick Kriseman
♦ District 59: Betty Reed
♦ District 70: David Shapiro
♦ District 78: Richard Machek*
♦ District 85: Shelley Vana
♦ District 86: Maria Sachs
District 90: Len Turesky
♦ District 91: Christian Chiari
♦ District 93: Perry Thurston
♦ District 94: Matt Meadows*
♦ District 95: Jim Waldman*
♦ District 96: Marin Kiar*
District 99: Arthur Palamara
♦ District 104: Yolly Roberson
♦ District 105: Joe Gibbons*
District 108: Peter Walsh
* = Universal Primaries, Only Democrats filed to run in these races; all voters can vote.

County Commission, Republican:
♦ Hillsborough District 1: Rose Ferlita
♦ Pinellas District 6: Susan Latvala

County Commission, Democrat:
Hillsborough District 3: Chloe Coney
♦ Hillsborough District 4: Lisa Rodriguez
♦ Pinellas District 2: Calvin Harris

(State of Sunshine is not comfortable predicting other races. Stay tuned for primary results later tonight.)

♦ = Races predicted correctly. Not bad, but not perfect.

About Jim Johnson

Editor and publisher of The State of Sunshine.
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2 Responses to Primary Election Predictions

  1. Bob says:

    Rod Smith is a bold prediction. My out-on-a-limb, upset prediction is Randy Johnson for CFO.

  2. Wrong on Penberthy and Murman. This is why I don’t do predictions. The netroots is going to freak on Penberthy losing.

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