Okay. I know this a blog is about state politics — but I have to say, I am growing more and more into a supporter for Rudy Giuliani. More and more polling shows Rudy winning the Republican nomination.
A recent Fox-News poll by Opinion Dynamics proves interesting…
– Rudy has the highest favorable approval rating of any major candidate (54%), Hillary Clinton is second with 50%.
– Clinton also has the second highest disapproval rating of any candidate (44%), with only Newt Gingrich higher at 49%. (Okay, technically Al Gore is the highest at 51% – but he’s not running.)
– Mitt Romney has the lowest name recognition amongst the major candidates; 43% of the respondants don’t know who he is.
If the Democratic primary were held today…
- Hillary Clinton – 43%
- Barack Obama – 15%
- John Edwards – 12%
- Al Gore 11%
- (Hillary was at 33% in early December)
If the Republican primary were held today…
- Rudy Giuliani – 34%
- John McCain – 22%
- Newt Gingrich – 15%
- Mitt Romney – 3%
- Sam Brownback – 1%
- (Rudy has held about the same 27-34%, and McCain has been between 22 and 25%, since March of 2006. )
Now, while The Neo Con Blogger will love this, my friends at PEER Review will not like these numbers. Rudy and McCain are way ahead right now. Romney and Brownback will have to outspend them by a considerable margin to even introduce themselves to the general public. (To be fair, there is a lot of room to improve, but add the bottom three Republicans – the “conservative” ones – and the moderates still lead 56% to 19%.)
- He enters the race more admired; and, not only more admired, more-liked than any presidential candidate since Eisenhower.
- Mayor of New York City. How many states have fewer than 7 million people? Massachusetts (Romney) and Arkansas (Huckabee), for two.
- More than any other Republican candidate, he would expand the 2008 electoral map.
- He’s pro-choice and pro-gay rights. So is a good chunk of the GOP’s donor base . . .
- You be may pro-life, and you might not favor expanded civil rights for gay couples, but you will have no doubt, when introduced to Rudy Giuliani, where he stands on those issues.
- About 30 percent of the Republican primary base is pro-choice and open to supporting some gay rights initiatives.
- The Ames Straw poll will be, obviously, a barometer of the Giuliani team’s organizational strength in Iowa.
- Fox News seems to be in love with “America’s Mayor,” as they call him. That’s an unalloyed good.
- Rudy Giuliani will never get the endorsement of Tony Perkins, or James Dobson, or Richard Land, or Rod Parsley.
- “Can Rudy win the nomination?” is a good question.
So, make it official. Until Newt Gingrich is an official candidates – I’m in Rudy’s camp. Newt would be interesting, if only from an intellectual perspective — easily the smartest of the potential candidates, and that would make the race more fun to watch.