Another poll on property taxes… Rubio’s Plan Has Little Support

Okay, Mr. G at PEER Review took issue with my trusting of a Quinnipiac poll.  And I know from my political science classes that one poll can be an aberration, even with sound sampling techniques and propert survey structure.

So, to further support my theort that Rubio’s plan would never be passed by the voters, I give you a poll from Florida International University.  The poll was reported by the Palm Beach Post:

A quarter of those polled called taxes the biggest issue now facing Florida, topping a list of 12 topics. Insurance costs, crime and affordable housing ranked next on the list, while education – the perennial leader – ranked fifth.

While 19.3 percent strongly supported substituting property taxes with a 2.5-cent increase in the sales tax, 18.8 percent were strongly opposed.

Overall, about 38 percent expressed some support to get rid of property taxes, while 35.3 percent had some opposition. The rest of those polled offered no opinion on the proposal.

Another conundrum the poll results showed: While a majority – 61 percent – would be happy saving between $2,000 and $7,000 from the elimination of property taxes, nearly 69 percent would be less likely to support it if the shift to a higher sales tax hurts the poor.

Hard to think with such a divide that there could be any ability to meet the 60% threshhold, let alone the 67% threshhold that might be required to pass the plan.

About Jim Johnson

Editor and publisher of The State of Sunshine.
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One Response to Another poll on property taxes… Rubio’s Plan Has Little Support

  1. Mr. G says:

    Careful, careful. You have to consider that if the sales tax makes it to a vote, that will be the one option they have for tax relief, at least greater relief than the base structure. There will likely be people who aren’t thrilled with the tax, but will support it over no change.

    It’s like the presidential campaign, if I was polled and asked if I would support Giuliani, I would say no. But come election time, if my choices are Giuliani and Clinton, guess who I’m voting for; Giuliani.

    I’ve not been impressed with the way these polls are phrased, “Would it make you more or less likely to support this proposal if you knew it hurt the poor?” Come on.

    Who knows, you could be spot on, these polls could be exactly correct. But based on what they are asking and the way they are asking it, methinks there is going to be some actual support in a vote on sales taxes that doesn’t show up in the poll.

    Regardless, even considering the polls as gospel, you have to admit, there is a chance this will get through.

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