What happens in Virginia Stays in Virginia – Not!

The results of the Virginia Democratic Gubernatorial primary are a great example of what may occur in the Florida Republican Senate primary.  Here are the comparisons:

 

Virginia

Florida

Name Recognition Advantage

McAuliffe

Crist

Prior Poll Results favored….

McAuliffe

Crist

Money Advantage

McAuliffe

Crist

Message over money

Deeds

Rubio

Stronger Online Presence

Deeds

Rubio

Winner (the underdog)

Deeds

Rubio?

Currently polls are indicating the Crist is in the lead, however we still have over a year left in the campaign season.  Creigh Deeds, in Virginia, is a good example of how early polls don’t fly nowadays by beating Terry McAuliffe by over a 20-point margin on election day.  Look what happened to Giuliani as well last year. If polls were done online or on social networks today, the results would indicate that Rubio takes the commanding lead. 

Speaking of internet, as soon as Deeds got the endorsement from the Washington Post he spent over half of his online ad budget on a Google surge of displayed advertising.  Within 28 hours of this Google blast about 8.8 million impressions ran.  Could we expect the same from Rubio? Possibly. 

Even if he does not get an endorsement from the press there is lots of positive remarks already marked on tv and print which he can use to his advantage when campaigning.  Right now Rubio is the media darling and the more the press allows Rubio to speak the less he needs to spend on paid advertising which then leaves him more time to do the one-on-one with citizens like Deed.

Another example of his appeal with the media is a recent conversation I had with a friend of mine, who is a reporter for one of the major networks.  She told me that she is considering switching parties just to vote in the Republican primary and would vote for Rubio.  Why?  She explained after interviewing him and watching other reports that he is not a typical politician who dodges questions or wedge issues.  Although she may not agree with all his positions the fact that he is very direct in responding showed her that he has the ability to lead.

In conclusion, take it from Patrick Ruffini, a Republican online strategist, who was quoted saying, “In the modern campaign, early money and establishment support matters far, far less than it used to, and could actually turn out to be a handicap — particularly when money becomes the story.” He adds, “As a campaign manager, I’d much, much rather be running the guy with a message and no money versus the guy with money and no message.”

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One Response to What happens in Virginia Stays in Virginia – Not!

  1. You are comparing the political skills of Charlie Crist to Terry McAuliffe? Crist is a much more skillful pol. McAuliffe is an embarrassing public speaker.

    Creigh Deeds ran for Attorney General in Virginia and had name recognition. Virginians viewed McAuliffe as an outsider. Creigh won a three way race. Robert C. Smith may not even get on the ballot and is running to the right of Marco Rubio. Smith will pull from Rubio’s base. In reality, Smith is DOA.

    Rubio is running a hard right campaign against the second most popular Gov in America and a state Obama won. Not to mention Rubio won’t be able to raise the cash and the GOP candidates (besides Ron Paul) have no netroots ATM.

    Creigh Deeds, in Virginia, is a good example of how early polls don’t fly nowadays by beating Terry McAuliffe by over a 20-point margin on election day. Look what happened to Giuliani as well last year.

    Voters hated McAuliffe. I can’t stand him and I’m a Democrat. Progressives were celebrating his defeat. Crist has won state-wide races. Rubio hasn’t. Giuliani lost every state before Florida because he had the insanely stupid strategy that Florida would carry into Super Tuesday. I’m trying to figure out what you are trying to prove by this post. Different states, offices and party races.

    Even if he does not get an endorsement from the press there is lots of positive remarks already marked on tv and print which he can use to his advantage when campaigning. Right now Rubio is the media darling and the more the press allows Rubio to speak the less he needs to spend on paid advertising which then leaves him more time to do the one-on-one with citizens like Deed.

    When did Rubio become the media darling? Rubio isn’t in office and will not get more media attention than a sitting Governor.

    If polls were done online or on social networks today, the results would indicate that Rubio takes the commanding lead.

    Name an underdog Republican that beat the establishment GOP candidate with the internet. Name a Republican candidate that used the internet to beat a Democrat.

    I don’t have a horse in the Crist-Rubio race but what are you basing it on besides Rubio bias. You are entitled to support the guy. However, you aren’t basing anything on facts.

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