Obama Should Make This Deal — It Will Make Him The Nominee

March 13, 2008 | 2 Comments

Okay, a few days ago I posted that it won’t matter what ever Florida and Michigan do. After a little analysis, with the help of the Slate and CNN delegate estimators, the math supports this…
But take a look for yourself:

State
Clinton
Obama

Pledged Delegates(As of March 13)
1,243
1,440

Pennsylvania
83 (52%)
75 (48%)

Guam
2 (52%)
2 (48%)

Indiana
39 (54%)
33 (46%)

North Carolina
50 (44%)
65 (56%)

West […]

Mar

12

Why a Democratic Primary Do-Over Won’t Matter Anyway

March 12, 2008 | Leave a Comment

There has been a heck of a lot of discussion lately about Florida Democrats holding some kind of “do-over” for the Presidential Preference Primary. A new vote. A mail-in primary. A caucus.
Other people, mostly Hillary Clinton supporters, are calling on the DNC to let the Florida vote stand.
Well, my friends, let me be […]

Feb

6

Super Tuesday Results: Clear as mud.

February 6, 2008 | Leave a Comment

Well, that may not be exactly fair. After all, given the way this election has gone, no one really expected the an almost-national primary with so many delegates at stake to solve anything.
Here is what we know.
Barack Obama won more states. Hillary Clinton won more delegates - barely. It’s neck and neck with […]

Jan

24

The next 12 days.

January 24, 2008 | 1 Comment

Some interesting things are going on at a rapid pace in the presidential race. Lots of blogs and media sites can keep you up to date with the happenings. But I wanted to take a moment to point out some things.
The Sunshine State is first.
We all know that Rudy Giuliani has been here, focused […]

Jan

21

The King Legacy

January 21, 2008 | 1 Comment

The St. Pete Times’ Media Critic, Eric Deggans, has (yet another) good post on his blog today asking the question What Would Martin Luther King Jr. Think? I thought one section was worth a little discussion.
Eric wrote:
The thought came to me watching news accounts on Clinton supporter Bob Johnson, a black man who made […]

Jan

17

Interesting politics in the Florida Senate

January 17, 2008 | Leave a Comment

Yesterday, former State Senator Skip Campbell (D-Ft. Lauderdale) announced he will challenge incumbent Senator Jeff Atwater (R- North Palm Beach) for the District 25 seat. There are a few things that really make this interesting.
First, Atwater has been selected by the Republicans in the Senate as their designee for Senate President for the next […]

Jan

8

I was wrong about New Hampshire…

January 8, 2008 | 2 Comments

Some of you may recall that I predicted Barack Obama would attract such a large number of indepdendent voters away from John McCain, it would result in Obama and Mitt Romney winning the primary.
Oops.
To be sure, Obama attracted a lot of independent voters. One exit poll I saw indicated that he had more independents […]

Jan

4

What do the Iowa results mean?

January 4, 2008 | 1 Comment

Ah, that is really the question. The pundits have been trying to figure out what resounding wins by Mike Huckabee and Barack Obama could mean for the future.
Here’s my prediction: Barack Obama and Mitt Romney will win New Hampshire.
First, according to the pundits last night Obama’s victory was pushed, in large part, by a […]

Jan

3

A study of the effect of momentum on elections…

January 3, 2008 | Leave a Comment

My friends, as Iowans head to caucuses today, we are at the start of what promises to be an interesting 34 days in American presidential politics. By the time we all wake up on the morning of Wednesday, February 6th, more than half of the delegates for the Democratic and Republican conventions will be […]

Jan

2

An interesting history lesson…

January 2, 2008 | Leave a Comment

This election year, 2008, is one that happens infrequently in American politics. Every four years since 1792, the Americans, by way of the Electoral College, have case votes for President of the United States. Fifty-four times before.
In twenty-one of those fifty-four previous presidential elections, the incumbent president either didn’t seek re-election, failed to […]

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