Mar
16
Revisiting the Electoral Map
March 16, 2008 | Leave a Comment
The St. Petersburg Times today has a story about the effects of Florida Democratic Delegate Conundrum on the electoral college map in the fall. Adam Smith’s conclusion: Democrats don’t need Florida to win the White House.
Of course, avid State of Sunshine readers will recall my post on the electoral map from last July, where […]
Mar
13
Obama Should Make This Deal — It Will Make Him The Nominee
March 13, 2008 | 2 Comments
Okay, a few days ago I posted that it won’t matter what ever Florida and Michigan do. After a little analysis, with the help of the Slate and CNN delegate estimators, the math supports this…
But take a look for yourself:
State
Clinton
Obama
Pledged Delegates(As of March 13)
1,243
1,440
Pennsylvania
83 (52%)
75 (48%)
Guam
2 (52%)
2 (48%)
Indiana
39 (54%)
33 (46%)
North Carolina
50 (44%)
65 (56%)
West […]
Mar
12
Why a Democratic Primary Do-Over Won’t Matter Anyway
March 12, 2008 | Leave a Comment
There has been a heck of a lot of discussion lately about Florida Democrats holding some kind of “do-over” for the Presidential Preference Primary. A new vote. A mail-in primary. A caucus.
Other people, mostly Hillary Clinton supporters, are calling on the DNC to let the Florida vote stand.
Well, my friends, let me be […]
Feb
7
Is Romney Backing Out Bad for the GOP?
February 7, 2008 | 2 Comments
Consider this:
John McCain has pretty much wrapped up the nomination — although I don’t think it’s really a forgone conclusion if Conservatives unite behind Huckabee, but that’s another post.
Because the race is over, the media coverage will drop off. It usually happens to both parties at about the same time. However, the Clinton-Obama […]
Feb
6
Super Tuesday Results: Clear as mud.
February 6, 2008 | Leave a Comment
Well, that may not be exactly fair. After all, given the way this election has gone, no one really expected the an almost-national primary with so many delegates at stake to solve anything.
Here is what we know.
Barack Obama won more states. Hillary Clinton won more delegates - barely. It’s neck and neck with […]
Jan
30
Rudy’s “Thank You” Message
January 30, 2008 | Leave a Comment
Dear Jim,
Over the past year, as I traveled around the country, people from all walks of life welcomed me into their homes and communities with open arms. From house parties to parades to town halls and rallies, […]
Jan
29
Why Rudy Failed
January 29, 2008 | 3 Comments
A lot of pundits are talking about what happened to Giuliani’s strategy. Many more will analyze this over time. Here are some of my first thoughts.
First, the playing field shifted. After the first of the year, the major issue shifted from the war in Iraq and the broader war on terror to […]
Jan
29
The Big Winner: Charlie Crist
January 29, 2008 | 1 Comment
Let’s see. John McCain won the Republican Primary. Amendment 1 passed with more than 60%. Things I didn’t think would happen.
The big reason? Could it be the fact that Governor Charlie Crist took an active role in both?
An interesting note that McCain received almost 50% of the vote in Miami-Dade - thank you […]
Jan
25
I voted.
January 25, 2008 | 7 Comments
Earlier today I told you how it was still a difficult decision. It was. I stared at that screen for five minutes. In the end, I voted for Rudy Giuliani. It’s not that I think Rudy is the best candidate. Clearly I don’t. I like them all equally, which […]
Jan
25
Still a hard decision
January 25, 2008 | 5 Comments
Last night I watch the whole Republican candidates debate on MSNBC. I had hoped the debate could help me decide for whom I will be voting. Nope.
Going in, I thought I had narrowed my choices to John McCain and Rudy Giuliani. With Tim Russert moderating, I thought the distinction would be highlighted […]
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